The prediction is conditional on the outcome of the next U.S. federal election cycle after the episode date (May 17, 2025). In the U.S., regular federal general elections occur in even‑numbered years; after the November 2024 elections, the next regular federal cycle is the November 2026 midterm elections, which will decide control of Congress and therefore whether Democrats "come back into power." As of today (November 30, 2025), the 2026 elections have not yet occurred, so we cannot know whether Democrats regain the presidency and/or Congress, nor whether they subsequently "put a blockade" on large‑scale monetization of federal assets. Because the triggering condition and the predicted response both concern future events, there is not yet enough information to evaluate whether Friedberg’s forecast is correct.