Sacks predicted that (1) the DOGE program in the US federal government would continue operating beyond 2025 and (2) Elon Musk would dial back his involvement to about 1–2 days per week instead of being there full time.

The second part largely happened: following Musk’s own comments on a Tesla earnings call, contemporary coverage reported that he planned to scale back his DOGE time to a day or two per week while refocusing on Tesla. (businessinsider.nl) Subsequent reporting and the DOGE overview note that he then left his formal White House/DOGE role entirely by late May 2025. (en.wikipedia.org)

However, multiple later reports show that DOGE itself did not continue past 2025. In late November 2025, major outlets (Guardian, Time, SF Chronicle, New York Post, People) all reported that the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) was dissolved or dismantled months ahead of its scheduled July 4, 2026 end date, with its functions largely absorbed by the Office of Personnel Management and other entities. (theguardian.com) These articles consistently describe DOGE as having been disbanded as a centralized program in November 2025, not continuing into 2026.

Because a core element of the prediction was that the DOGE program would keep operating beyond 2025, and it in fact ended in November 2025, the overall prediction must be judged as wrong, even though Musk’s short‑term shift to a 1–2‑days‑per‑week mode did occur before he exited the role entirely.