As of November 30, 2025, Tesla has launched a limited “Robotaxi” ride‑hailing service in Austin using a small fleet of Model Y vehicles, but all rides still involve a Tesla employee acting as a safety monitor in the front seat, and similar pilot services or tests elsewhere also continue to require human safety personnel. These services are geofenced, closely supervised, and not yet fully driverless commercial robotaxis available broadly to the public. (en.wikipedia.org)

The normalized prediction says Tesla will be operating real robotaxi services—vehicles driving themselves without active human drivers, offered commercially to the public—within roughly two years of the April 26, 2025 conversation, i.e., by around April 2027. Since it is still late 2025 and that deadline has not yet arrived, there is not enough information to determine whether the prediction will ultimately be correct or incorrect. Therefore, its status is inconclusive (too early to tell).