Jason @ 01:19:45Inconclusive
politicsgovernment
If the Trump administration continues policies such as deporting alleged gang members to El Salvador’s harsh prison without sufficient due process and promoting it in punitive videos, Republicans will lose the next U.S. midterm elections in 2026.
And this is why I predict this is why they will lose the midterms if they continue to do this type of stuff.View on YouTube
Explanation
As of now (late November 2025), the next scheduled U.S. midterm elections will take place in November 2026, and those elections have not yet occurred. Therefore, we cannot yet know whether Republicans will lose them, regardless of what immigration or deportation policies the Trump administration pursues. Since the outcome event in the prediction (the 2026 midterms) is still in the future, the prediction cannot be evaluated and remains too early to call.
Key point: the evaluation date (November 2025) is before the predicted event date (November 2026), so the truth value of the prediction is not yet observable.