Friedberg @ 00:05:57Inconclusive
healthscience
Within the next few years (by the late 2020s), advances such as lab‑generated egg cells will make IVF significantly simpler, less invasive, and more widely available than it is in 2025.
So there's a future here in the next couple of years where fertility becomes a simpler, hopefully easier and more widely available service than it is today, where it's really challenging technically and you've got to go do something that's invasive and, you know, you've got to hope that there's good, healthy eggs and there's a good number of eggs and so on and so forth.View on YouTube
Explanation
As of 30 November 2025, the time window specified by the prediction (“in the next couple of years” / “by the late 2020s”) has not yet elapsed, so it is too early to know whether IVF will in fact become significantly simpler, less invasive, and much more widely available than in early 2025.
Current scientific progress supports that we are still in an early, experimental phase:
- In 2025, scientists for the first time turned human skin cells into egg-like cells that could be fertilised, a key in‑vitro gametogenesis (IVG) milestone. However, the embryos showed many abnormalities, and researchers stress this is only proof‑of‑concept and estimate that such lab‑generated eggs are at least a decade away from being widely available as a treatment. (tribune.com.pk)
- The UK fertility regulator similarly concluded in 2025 that lab‑grown eggs and sperm are on the brink of viability as a research technology, but clinical use is still expected to be up to a decade away, not something available broadly in the mid‑2020s. (theguardian.com)
Because (1) the forecast’s horizon extends into the late 2020s, and (2) we are only partway through that period, with the decisive technologies (like lab‑generated eggs) not yet clinically deployed, the correct judgment as of now is inconclusive rather than right or wrong.