Jason @ 00:42:49Inconclusive
aipoliticseconomy
Within the next 10 years, the U.S. will lose millions of driving-related jobs due to technologies such as AI and self‑driving vehicles, comparable in scale to the prior loss of millions of cashier jobs, and this will lead to more restrictive U.S. immigration policy (fewer people allowed to immigrate).
If we lose millions of driver jobs, which we will in the next ten years, just like we lost millions of cashier jobs, well, that's going to impact how our nation and many of the voters look at the border and immigration, we might not be able to let as many people immigrate here.View on YouTube
Explanation
The prediction has a 10‑year horizon ("in the next ten years"). From the podcast release on 15 February 2025, that implies outcomes by roughly 2035, while today is 30 November 2025—less than one year into the window.
To evaluate it fully, we would need to know by ~2035 whether:
- The U.S. lost millions of driving‑related jobs (truck drivers, delivery drivers, taxi/TNC drivers, etc.) primarily due to AI/self‑driving technologies, and
- That labor‑market shift caused U.S. immigration policy to become more restrictive, with fewer people allowed to immigrate.
As of late 2025:
- Human driving jobs remain widespread; self‑driving tech is being piloted and deployed in limited commercial settings, but there is no evidence yet of multi‑million‑person job loss attributable to it at national scale.
- U.S. immigration levels and policies in 2024–2025 are shaped mainly by politics, border enforcement debates, and legislative/executive actions, not by documented large‑scale displacement of drivers.
Because the specified 10‑year period has not remotely elapsed, the prediction cannot yet be judged right or wrong, even if early indicators are modest. It is therefore too early to evaluate.