• The prediction was conditional on Donald Trump being in office and implementing his immigration agenda in 2025. That condition is met: Trump returned to the presidency on January 20, 2025 and immediately signed Executive Order 14159 expanding expedited removals and other hardline measures. (en.wikipedia.org)

• Available data through early autumn 2025 show well under 750,000 deportations so far:

• A detailed overview of deportation policy in Trump’s second term notes about 400,000 deportations by September 23, 2025, alongside an estimated 1.6 million “self‑deportations.” (en.wikipedia.org)
• A Heritage Foundation summary of DHS figures says a September 23 DHS press release claimed “more than 400,000” deportations, and that by late October DHS was telling Fox News that 515,000 people had been deported since Trump returned to office. (heritage.org)

• Forward‑looking estimates also indicate the total for calendar year 2025 is likely to stay below 750,000:

• An October 30, 2025 report from the Migration Policy Institute, summarized by Stateline, says the Trump administration itself now expects about 600,000 total deportations in 2025, down from an earlier internal goal of 1 million; the same analysis estimates about 340,000 deportations in fiscal year 2025 (through September). (stateline.org)
• Axios reporting on comments by border czar Tom Homan in late October describes the administration as being "on track" for just over 600,000 deportations by year‑end, and cites internal claims of roughly 400,000 deportations in the first 250 days of Trump’s second term. (axios.com)

• As of November 30, 2025, these sources consistently place cumulative 2025 deportations in the 400k–500k range so far, with official projections around 600k for the full calendar year, i.e., substantially below the 750k threshold implied by the prediction. However, the calendar year has not yet ended, and final, audited 2025 totals are not yet available.

Because we do not yet have definitive end‑of‑year deportation statistics, and it is at least theoretically possible (though unlikely) that December removals could change the final total, the prediction cannot be resolved with certainty at this time. It appears very likely to end up wrong, but strictly on the evidence available as of November 30, 2025, the status is best classified as “inconclusive (too early)”.