Multiple official and independent sources report that gross U.S. federal debt (total public debt outstanding, i.e., what is commonly called U.S. national debt) exceeded $38 trillion in October 2025, well within calendar year 2025.

• The U.S. House Budget Committee stated that “the U.S. national debt crossed the $38 trillion mark” in a press release dated Oct. 23, 2025. (budget.house.gov)
• A detailed debt analysis notes that as of Oct. 21, 2025, federal debt was about $38.02 trillion. (gold-eagle.com)
• A current summary of the U.S. national debt explains that the $38 trillion milestone was reached on Oct. 23, 2025, and that Treasury’s “Debt to the Penny” series shows the daily total of outstanding federal debt at this level in 2025. (en.wikipedia.org)
• A fiscal data compilation using Treasury’s dataset reports total public debt outstanding of $38,004,366,480,104 on Nov. 3, 2025, confirming the level remained above $38 trillion. (justfacts.com)

Because the prediction only required that U.S. national debt at some point in calendar year 2025 exceed $38 trillion—and this clearly occurred by late October 2025—the prediction is right.