Jason @ 01:45:00Inconclusive
markets
By the end of 2025, the combined weight of the Magnificent Seven stocks in the S&P 500 index will fall below 30%.
We created a market here. The Magnificent Seven shrinks below 30% of S&P 520, 25, 44%, 44% chance is what people in the real world are putting volume on that.View on YouTube
Explanation
The prediction’s deadline is “by the end of 2025”, which means the outcome cannot be definitively evaluated until after December 31, 2025. Today is November 30, 2025, so there is still time for the combined weight of the Magnificent Seven stocks in the S&P 500 to move above or below 30% before the prediction’s time window closes. Even if the weighting is currently above or below 30%, we cannot yet say the prediction is ultimately right or wrong, only that it is still pending.