and that ultimately leads to a situation where in ten years, we're going to be looking across the water at, you know, a competitive country that has Rex forex. The electricity production capacity of our countryView on YouTube
The prediction has a horizon of ~10 years from the recording date of 7 Dec 2024, i.e., until about 2034. As of today (30 Nov 2025), fewer than 2 years have elapsed, so it is too early to say whether the forecast will prove right or wrong.
Current data show that China already has larger total power generation capacity than the U.S., but not at 4x yet. Various international energy statistics (e.g., from the IEA, U.S. EIA, and other energy data compilers) indicate that in recent years China’s installed power capacity and electricity generation have been on the order of about 2× that of the U.S., depending on the year and metric (installed capacity vs. actual generation), but not 4×. However, this only describes the situation now, not in 2034.
Because the forecast explicitly concerns the situation around 2034, and that date has not yet occurred, the truth value of the prediction cannot be determined at this time. Therefore the status is inconclusive (too early).