ALL INPredictions
Last updated Nov 29, 2025
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Sacks @ 00:37:45Right
politicsgovernmenttech
During the next Trump administration (2025–2028), the U.S. government will, with high likelihood, initiate at least one significant antitrust action or formal investigation specifically aimed at structurally breaking up Google (e.g., separating search, advertising, and YouTube).
So my view is that Google should be broken up... What are the odds that that happens? It's hard to say, but what are the odds that that is pursued in the next administration in some capacity or at least investigated? I'd say hi.View on YouTube
Explanation

Evidence from 2025 shows that, under Trump’s second administration, the U.S. government did actively pursue structural antitrust remedies against Google, matching Sacks’s prediction that breakup efforts would be “pursued in the next administration in some capacity or at least investigated.”

  1. Search monopoly case (filed 2020, remedies pursued under Trump 2.0)

    • The DOJ’s 2020 search case against Google (United States v. Google LLC, D.D.C.) resulted in an August 5, 2024 ruling that Google is an illegal monopolist in search.(en.wikipedia.org)
    • In Trump’s second term, the Trump Justice Department explicitly reaffirmed Biden‑era proposals to break up Google, including forcing divestiture of the Chrome browser and banning default‑search payment deals that entrench Google’s dominance. This was reported in early March 2025 as “the first significant antitrust move under Trump’s new administration,” and was framed as a continued aggressive push to dismantle parts of Google.(washingtonpost.com)
    • Although the final September 2, 2025 remedies order in the search case stopped short of ordering an immediate breakup and instead imposed strong conduct and data‑sharing remedies, those court‑ordered remedies followed a 15‑day remedies trial in May 2025 where DOJ had argued for significant structural measures.(justice.gov)

  2. Ad‑tech monopoly case (filed 2023, structural breakup remedies pushed in 2025)

    • In a separate DOJ case over Google’s advertising technology (filed 2023), a federal court on April 17, 2025 found Google had illegally monopolized key ad‑tech markets.(en.wikipedia.org)
    • Following that liability ruling, the DOJ in May 2025 formally proposed structural divestitures—forcing Google to sell its AdX ad exchange and DFP publisher ad‑server business—arguing that “nothing short of a structural divestment” would restore competition.(cnbc.com)
    • These proposed remedies were filed and pursued during Trump’s 2025–2028 term and are classic examples of antitrust actions specifically aimed at breaking up parts of Google.

Taken together, Trump’s DOJ not only continued but affirmatively pursued structural breakup remedies against Google in multiple ongoing antitrust cases during 2025. Even though those suits pre‑dated the administration and the ultimate remedies are still being litigated or appealed, the core condition of Sacks’s prediction—serious, government‑driven antitrust efforts in the next Trump administration to structurally break up Google—has already been met. Accordingly, the prediction is best classified as right.