Chamath @ 01:16:59Inconclusive
politicsgovernment
The Trump administration, guided in part by Vivek Ramaswamy’s plan, will attempt to substantially dismantle major parts of the existing federal government apparatus, with a self-imposed target to accomplish this by the year 2026 (the U.S. 250th anniversary), including implementing “radical transparency” and legal/caselaw-driven rollbacks of agencies or bureaucratic structures by that date.
Vivek put out a very compelling post on X where he basically said, like, look, when you on the one hand, there's going to be radical transparency, but on the other hand, there's a lot of case law that we can use to kind of try to really dismantle the government apparatus, and they're putting themselves on a shot clock to do it by 2026 for the 250th anniversary.View on YouTube
Explanation
As of 30 November 2025, it is too early to determine whether this prediction is right or wrong.
Key reasons:
- Timeline explicitly extends to 2026. The prediction describes a target to accomplish this by 2026 (the U.S. 250th anniversary). That deadline is in the future relative to the current date, so we cannot yet judge success or failure.
- Outcome depends on future administrative actions. Whether a Trump administration (if in office and empowered to act) will, in practice, substantially dismantle parts of the federal apparatus using the mechanisms described (radical transparency, case-law-driven rollbacks, etc.) can only be evaluated after the 2026 target period has passed.
Because the core claim is about what will be attempted and accomplished by 2026, and we are still before that deadline, the correct classification is "inconclusive (too early)".