Last updated Nov 29, 2025
Sacks @ 00:24:26Inconclusive
economymarkets
US long-term interest rates (e.g., the 10‑year Treasury yield), having roughly doubled from their prior lows, will remain at approximately their current elevated level (around 4%+) for the foreseeable medium term and will not revert back to the ~2% range they were in during the 2010s within the next several years (through at least 2027).
if if rates have roughly doubled, let's say, in the last few years, and they're going to stay at that level, they're not going back down.View on YouTube
Explanation

As of 30 November 2025, the prediction’s timeframe (“within the next several years … through at least 2027”) has not yet elapsed, so it cannot be definitively judged.

To see if it has already been falsified, we can check whether U.S. long‑term interest rates (e.g., the 10‑year Treasury yield) have dropped back into the ~2% range since the podcast date (1 November 2024). Historical data from late 2024 through 2025 show the 10‑year Treasury yield generally fluctuating in roughly the 3.7–5% range and not returning to anything close to ~2%. Therefore nothing so far contradicts Sacks’s claim that rates would stay elevated rather than revert to 2010s‑style ~2% yields.

However, because the prediction explicitly extends “through at least 2027” and we are only at 2025, it is still too early to say definitively whether it will end up correct or incorrect. The proper status at this time is therefore inconclusive (too early).