As of November 30, 2025, no major U.S. tech conglomerate such as Alphabet/Google, Meta, Apple, Amazon, or Microsoft has actually been broken up into separate companies by regulators or markets.

• Alphabet (Google) remains a unified public company, though it faces multiple U.S. antitrust lawsuits (e.g., DOJ search and ad-tech cases) and EU regulatory actions, none of which have yet resulted in a court-ordered breakup or formal corporate split into distinct listed entities.
• Similarly, Amazon, Apple, Meta, and Microsoft have ongoing antitrust and regulatory scrutiny but no consummated structural breakups.

However, Chamath’s prediction did not include any time constraint; he simply asserted that such breakups “will happen” at some point in the future. Since:

1. The predicted event (breakups) has not yet occurred, and
2. The prediction’s time horizon is effectively open-ended (no deadline by which it had to be true),

we cannot yet judge it as definitively right or wrong. It remains unresolved, so the appropriate classification is “inconclusive (too early)”.