The prediction specifies a time horizon of 4–10 years starting with administrations from 2025 onward (i.e., roughly 2025–2029 at minimum, possibly out to the mid‑2030s). As of November 30, 2025, we are only about 1 year into that 4–10 year window, so it is too early to determine whether a “cataclysmic contraction in white collar employment in the United States” over that multi‑year period will in fact occur.

Available data so far do not settle the question one way or the other:

• U.S. employment in professional and business services (a major white‑collar category) has shown some cooling and restructuring in 2024–2025, including notable tech and corporate layoffs, but aggregate employment in these sectors has not yet undergone a clearly “cataclysmic” multi‑year collapse; instead, the labor market remains relatively tight compared with pre‑pandemic norms, with unemployment still low by historical standards.
• At the same time, AI and automation adoption is accelerating, and many analysts continue to debate their longer‑term impact on white‑collar work. However, projections about large future job losses are forecasts, not realized outcomes at this point.

Because the prediction is about structural labor‑market outcomes over a 4–10 year span, and only a small fraction of that span has elapsed, current evidence cannot yet confirm or falsify it. Therefore the correct status as of now is “inconclusive (too early)”.