Jason @ 00:39:45Inconclusive
marketseconomy
Assuming ongoing 20–30% annual revenue growth with flat or lower headcount, by roughly 2–3 years after September 27, 2024 (i.e., by late 2026 to late 2027), each of Google, Uber, Airbnb, and Meta will have approximately doubled their revenue per employee compared to their revenue per employee around 2023–2024.
If you look at Google, Uber, Airbnb and Facebook meta, they have the same number or less employees than they did three years ago, but they're all growing in that 20 to 30% a year, which means in but 2 to 3 years, each of those companies has doubled revenue per employee.View on YouTube
Explanation
As of November 30, 2025, we are only about 14 months past the prediction date of September 27, 2024. Jason’s prediction explicitly referred to outcomes over the subsequent 2–3 years (i.e., roughly late 2026 to late 2027) for revenue-per-employee at Google, Uber, Airbnb, and Meta. Because that time window has not yet arrived, we cannot yet evaluate whether each company has in fact doubled its revenue per employee relative to the 2023–2024 baseline. Any current financial or headcount data would only show partial progress toward a 2026–2027 target, not whether the prediction ultimately holds. Therefore, it is too early to judge the prediction’s accuracy.