Last updated Nov 29, 2025
techai
Humanoid and similar advanced robots such as Tesla Optimus will be commercially available at roughly US$20,000 per unit (order-of-magnitude) in the foreseeable near term as these platforms mature.
And I'm really interested in robotics now, too. I think there's going to be some incredible gains with Optimus and some of the other robots that are occurring, and those things are only going to cost 20 grand.View on YouTube
Explanation

Since the July 12, 2024 podcast, several humanoid and advanced general-purpose robots have indeed reached roughly the US$20,000 price point and become commercially offered, matching Jason’s order‑of‑magnitude prediction.

Concrete examples:

  • 1X Technologies’ NEO home humanoid robot opened global preorders in October 2025 at a listed price of US$20,000 (or a $499/month subscription), with deliveries scheduled for 2026, marketed explicitly as a consumer-ready humanoid home assistant.​​ (en.wikipedia.org)
  • Chinese firms are also targeting similar or lower prices: Unitree’s R1 humanoid was announced in 2025 at about US$5,900, and its other humanoids (G1, H1) plus competing platforms like Pudu’s D9 and Neura’s 4NE‑1 cluster in the mid‑five‑figure or sub‑US$20k–30k band, placing advanced humanoids in the same order of magnitude as US$20,000.​ (nypost.com)
  • UBTech publicly discussed selling a home/elder‑care humanoid at around US$20,000, further corroborating that manufacturers see ~US$20k as a realistic commercial price point for such robots in this timeframe.​ (cybernews.com)
  • While Tesla Optimus itself is not yet sold to outside customers, Elon Musk and Tesla have repeatedly framed Optimus’s intended price in the roughly US$20,000–30,000 range, reinforcing that this is the expected commercial band for Optimus‑class humanoids.​ (digitimes.com)

Because humanoid and Optimus‑class robots are now actually being offered for sale or preorder at ~US$20,000 in the 2024–2026 window that would reasonably count as the "foreseeable near term" from the podcast date, the substance of Jason’s prediction has come true.