Last updated Nov 29, 2025
politicsgovernment
In the summer of 2024, Democrats will execute a rapid, improvised primary process with roughly five debates over about ten weeks to choose a new nominee; Joe Biden will resign from the presidency before the 2024 election, elevating Kamala Harris to president; Harris and others (e.g., Dean Phillips) will compete in this speed‑run primary; the eventual Democratic nominee emerging from this process will go on to defeat Donald Trump decisively in the November 2024 general election.
Here's what will happen. Freeburg. They're going to do all caps, all caps. Locks. Alert. Must credit Nostradamus. They're going to do a Democratic primary speed run. Here's what's going to happen. They're going to do five debates in ten weeks. And then whoever wins wins. Kamala. He's going to resign. Kamala becomes president. Kamala gets to, um, run, run. She gets to speed run like everybody else. Dean Phillips gets to come in. Everybody speed runs it. The they take over the media. The media will go crazy over the summer. Massive ratings boom. And we have a winner come in and they demolish Trump.View on YouTube
Explanation

Key elements of Jason’s prediction did not occur:

  1. No “speed‑run” summer primary with debates. After President Biden’s poor June 2024 debate performance and growing pressure, he withdrew from the 2024 presidential race on July 21, 2024, but Democrats did not run a rapid multi‑candidate primary with ~five debates over ten weeks. Instead, party leaders and delegates quickly consolidated behind Vice President Kamala Harris, who was formally made the nominee via a virtual delegate vote concluding on August 5–6, 2024, without a new series of debates or a multi‑candidate “speed‑run” primary. (en.wikipedia.org)

  2. Biden did not resign the presidency, and Harris did not become president before the election. When Biden ended his reelection bid, he explicitly said he would continue serving as president for the remainder of his term. He remained in office through the 2024 campaign and left when his successor was inaugurated in January 2025; Harris never assumed the presidency before the election. (en.wikipedia.org)

  3. The Democrat did not “demolish” Trump; Trump won. Kamala Harris became the Democratic nominee, but she lost the November 5, 2024 general election to Donald Trump, who was elected the 47th president. This is the opposite of the prediction that the eventual Democratic nominee would decisively defeat Trump. (en.wikipedia.org)

Because the core predicted sequence (Biden resigns the presidency → Harris becomes president → a multi‑candidate summer debate sprint → Democratic nominee crushes Trump) diverged from what actually happened, the overall prediction is wrong, despite partially anticipating that Biden would exit the race and that Harris would become the Democratic nominee.