Jason @ 00:25:32Wrong
politicsgovernment
Following the June 27, 2024 debate, Joe Biden will leave office before his term ends, Kamala Harris will become President for roughly four months and will be celebrated as the first female president, then she will announce she is not running for election (citing family or similar reasons), and the Democratic Party will instead put forward two new, more moderate candidates to contest the 2024 presidential election, with that new general‑election race effectively beginning about 15 days after Biden exits.
what's going to happen right now, I guarantee you, is he's out. We're going to have President Kamala. She's going to get her flowers for four months as she gets to be the first female president of the United States. Then she steps out of the way. She decides she's not going to run because she's got things to do with her family. And there will be two new people who will be moderates. And then the real election starts in about 15 days.View on YouTube
Explanation
The prediction did not come true.
Key parts of Jason’s forecast vs. what actually happened:
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“He’s out… We’re going to have President Kamala.”
- As of the end of Joe Biden’s first term (which concluded at noon on January 20, 2025), Biden did not leave office early and was not replaced by Kamala Harris as president. Public records and news coverage of the 2024 election and subsequent inauguration show Biden serving through the full term and then leaving office in the normal course at inauguration, not via early resignation or removal.
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“She’s going to get her flowers for four months as she gets to be the first female president… Then she steps out of the way… decides she’s not going to run.”
- Kamala Harris never became President in 2024 or early 2025, so there was no four‑month Harris presidency and no announcement by a President Harris that she would decline to run. Coverage of the 2024 campaign confirms that this scenario never occurred.
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“There will be two new people who will be moderates” heading the Democratic ticket in 2024
- In the actual 2024 election cycle, the Democratic presidential ticket was not composed of two entirely new, post‑Biden, non‑Harris “moderate” figures created by a last‑minute Biden exit. Mainstream reporting on the 2024 Democratic ticket and convention shows the ticket emerging through the standard primary/nomination process, not through a sudden presidential resignation followed by a short Harris presidency and her withdrawal.
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Timing element: “the real election starts in about 15 days” after Biden exits
- Because Biden never exited early, there was no 15‑day reset point that launched a brand‑new general‑election matchup.
Since none of the critical elements occurred (no early Biden departure, no Harris presidency, no four‑month window, no Harris withdrawal, no completely new moderate duo emerging on that basis), the prediction is substantively wrong.