Trump did win the 2024 election and returned to office on January 20, 2025, satisfying the prediction’s “if reelected” condition. (en.wikipedia.org) During the 2024 campaign he repeatedly floated a 10–20% universal tariff on all imports and 60% or higher tariffs on Chinese goods, a clearly broad and aggressive tariff agenda. (cnbc.com) Once in office, he implemented that agenda in substance: beginning April 5, 2025, the U.S. started collecting a sweeping 10% tariff on virtually all imports, with significantly higher, country‑specific rates (up to about 50% on some goods and roughly 54% total on Chinese imports), explicitly framed as a new global trade system. (reuters.com) The administration has since insisted that the 10% baseline tariff will remain in place as a core feature of U.S. trade policy, reinforcing that these are not symbolic or short‑lived measures. (nypost.com) Because Trump did in fact implement a far‑reaching, aggressive tariff regime similar in scale and spirit to what he campaigned on, Jason’s prediction that he was merely pandering and would “not implement the tariff thing anyway” is wrong.