Sacks @ 01:23:17Inconclusive
politicsgovernment
Donald Trump’s New York hush‑money/business‑records conviction will eventually be overturned on appeal, but not until after the November 5, 2024 U.S. presidential election.
So my guess is that at the end of the day, this case is going to get tossed on appeal, but that's probably going to happen after the election, after November 5th.View on YouTube
Explanation
Sacks predicted that Donald Trump’s New York hush‑money/business‑records conviction would eventually be overturned on appeal, but only after the November 5, 2024 election.
What has actually happened so far:
- Trump was convicted in New York on 34 felony counts of falsifying business records related to the Stormy Daniels hush‑money payments on May 30, 2024, and later received an unconditional discharge at sentencing on January 10, 2025. (en.wikipedia.org)
- Trump has appealed the conviction in New York’s state courts (notice of appeal filed January 29, 2025; a formal appeal seeking to overturn the conviction filed in October 2025). (en.wikipedia.org)
- Separately, a federal appeals court in November 2025 gave him another chance to try to move the case to federal court, where he would then argue for dismissal on presidential‑immunity grounds, but that ruling only ordered further consideration—it did not vacate the conviction. (washingtonpost.com)
- Major overviews of Trump’s legal status as of late November 2025 still describe him as convicted in the New York hush‑money case and “seeking to overturn that conviction,” indicating no court has yet set the verdict aside. (apnews.com)
Because the conviction remains in place and the appeals (both in state court and via the attempted federal removal route) are still unresolved as of November 30, 2025, we don’t yet know whether it will “get tossed on appeal.” It has remained in effect through and beyond the November 5, 2024 election, matching his timing claim so far, but the core question—whether it will ultimately be overturned—has not been decided. Therefore the prediction’s accuracy is inconclusive (too early to tell).