Jason @ 00:16:39Wrong
politics
If the Democratic Party replaces Joe Biden with another presidential candidate during June 2024, that replacement Democratic candidate will go on to defeat Donald Trump by a landslide margin in the November 2024 U.S. presidential election.
I think the Democrats need to immediately this month, in June, do the switcheroo. And if they do, I think they win in a landslide.View on YouTube
Explanation
The prediction had two clear conditions:
- Democrats replace Joe Biden with another presidential candidate during June 2024.
- That replacement candidate then defeats Donald Trump in a landslide in November 2024.
What actually happened:
- Joe Biden remained the Democratic nominee through and after June 2024; there was no June “switcheroo” to a different Democratic candidate. Major reporting throughout summer 2024 continued to identify Biden as the Democratic nominee against Donald Trump, with no formal replacement occurring.
- Since the conditional trigger (a June 2024 replacement of Biden) never happened, the prediction’s scenario did not materialize, and thus its stated outcome (a landslide win by the replacement candidate) did not occur.
Because the prediction is explicitly conditional on an event that did not occur (Democrats switching candidates in June 2024), the prediction as stated is wrong.