And so I think if that's the case, we really need to have the Democrats think deeply about maybe fielding a different candidate. And I believe that's what's going to happen in the next 30 to 60 days. So I'm predicting.View on YouTube
Jason’s prediction window was roughly from May 31, 2024 (podcast release) to about July 30, 2024 ("the next 30 to 60 days").
On July 21, 2024, President Joe Biden ended his 2024 reelection campaign and announced he would not seek another term. In the same announcement, he endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris as his replacement to lead the Democratic ticket, and Democrats quickly moved to unite behind her as the new standard-bearer.(pbs.org) This effectively removed Biden as the Democratic presidential candidate and installed Harris as the de facto nominee within the 30–60 day window Jason specified.
Formally, Harris was only officially nominated by the Democratic National Committee on August 5, 2024, after a virtual roll call that concluded that day, which is just outside the 60‑day window.(en.wikipedia.org) However, Jason’s wording about Democrats “fielding a different candidate” is satisfied in the common political sense as of July 21–22, when Biden withdrew and Harris became the presumptive nominee and active Democratic presidential candidate. On that practical interpretation, the prediction came true within the timeframe, so it is best scored as right, with the caveat that the formal nomination occurred slightly later.