ALL INPredictions
Last updated Nov 29, 2025
Episodes / Scarlett Johansson vs OpenAI, Nvidia's trillion-dollar problem, the "vibecession," plastic in our balls
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Sacks @ 00:13:54Wrong
As a result of the Scarlett Johansson vs. OpenAI dispute (including any lawsuit or settlement), Scarlett Johansson will end up with an equity or economic ownership stake in OpenAI that is larger than Sam Altman’s personal ownership stake in the company, determined by the final structure of ownership after the dispute is resolved.
The sentence is as Scarlett Johansson's going to end up owning more of this company than Sam Altman. That's what's going to happen.
Explanation

Available reporting shows that the Scarlett Johansson–OpenAI dispute over the ChatGPT "Sky" voice ended with OpenAI taking down the voice and issuing explanations/apologies, not with any transfer of ownership or equity to Johansson. Articles describing the incident through 2024–2025 say she hired lawyers, sent letters, and that OpenAI "reluctantly agreed" to remove Sky, but explicitly note she has not filed a lawsuit and mention no settlement involving equity or economic participation in OpenAI.(cnbc.com)

On Sam Altman’s side, OpenAI’s unusual structure and later restructuring into a public benefit corporation have been heavily covered. Reuters’ report on the October 2025 restructuring states that Microsoft holds 27% and the OpenAI Foundation 26%, and that Altman will not receive equity in the restructured company.(reuters.com) Business Insider (October 2025) further notes that although a 7% stake for Altman was at one point discussed, it "has not materialized" and he still has no direct equity in OpenAI.(businessinsider.com) TechCrunch and related coverage clarify that any exposure he had was a negligible indirect interest via venture funds (YC/Sequoia), not a personal direct ownership stake in OpenAI, and that even that exposure has been reduced or sold.(techcrunch.com)

Crucially, across major business and technology outlets and detailed discussions of OpenAI’s cap table and governance, there is no indication at all that Scarlett Johansson has any equity or economic ownership stake in OpenAI, let alone one granted as part of a legal settlement. Profiles and later pieces that revisit the controversy simply say she forced OpenAI to withdraw the Sky voice; none mention her as an investor or shareholder.(nypost.com)

Given that (1) Johansson appears to have 0% ownership, with no reported equity or profit participation arising from the dispute, and (2) Altman has no direct equity stake in OpenAI and only ever had at most a tiny, indirect fund exposure, Johansson does not "end up owning more of this company than Sam Altman" in any meaningful, reported sense. At best, both have zero direct equity; zero is not greater than zero. Therefore, on the evidence available by November 30, 2025, Sacks’s prediction is wrong.