Jason @ 00:41:18Inconclusive
techai
Autonomous driving (robotaxis and similar services) will account for roughly 5–10% of total rides in the ride‑hailing/transport market in about 5–10 years from April 2024 (i.e., by roughly 2029–2034).
So I think to the more important question is when can automated be 5% or 10% of rides? And I think that's 5 or 10 years from now.View on YouTube
Explanation
The prediction concerns what share of total ride‑hailing/transport rides will be autonomous 5–10 years from April 2024, i.e., roughly in the 2029–2034 timeframe. As of today (November 30, 2025), we are only about 1.5 years past the prediction date and still several years away from even the earliest point in that window (2029). It is therefore too early to evaluate whether autonomous rides will reach 5–10% of the ride‑hailing market in that period. No current market data can yet confirm or falsify a claim about 2029–2034.