The prediction is about a future state of the market: that only around 2029–2031 (5–7 years after April 2024) will autonomous robotaxi-style self-driving services reach even low single-digit percentages of overall ride volume. As of November 30, 2025, we are only about 1.5 years after the prediction, well before the forecast window begins (2029).

Current data shows that autonomous robotaxi deployments from companies like Waymo, Cruise (which has since paused operations in some markets after regulatory issues), and Tesla’s still-evolving FSD/robotaxi plans are limited in geographic scope and experimental/commercial pilot phases in a few cities, not yet a material share of total rides globally or nationally. However, nothing about today’s situation can confirm or falsify what will be true by 2029–2031.

Because the timeframe of the claim has not yet arrived, the correctness of the prediction cannot be judged yet. Therefore the appropriate status is: it’s too early to tell.