The prediction specifies a time window for achieving “some form of AGI”: roughly 5–10 years from 2024, i.e., between 2029 and 2034. That window has not started yet as of the evaluation date (December 1, 2025); the earliest point, 2029, is still in the future.

While there is active debate about how close current large models (like cutting‑edge GPT-based systems and other frontier models) are to AGI, there is no consensus or widely accepted evidence that AGI has already been achieved as of 2025. However, this doesn’t invalidate the prediction, because it was about future achievement by 2029–2034, not by 2025.

Since the specified time range has not elapsed (and has not even begun at the early bound), the correctness of the prediction cannot yet be determined. Therefore, the status is inconclusive (too early to tell).