Last updated Nov 29, 2025
Chamath @ 01:04:19Inconclusive
By approximately the year 2100, the population of the United States will be around 400 million people, while the populations of other Western countries will be roughly half of their current levels.
by the end of this century, we'll be around 400, odd million individuals and other countries will have been cut in half.View on YouTube
Explanation

The prediction concerns population levels by the end of this century (around the year 2100). As of today (2025), that date is still roughly 75 years in the future, so it is not yet possible to verify whether:

  • The U.S. population will be “around 400 million” by ~2100, or
  • Populations of other Western countries will be about half of their current levels by that time.

Current demographic data and projections can suggest trends, but they cannot confirm outcomes that far in the future. Therefore, the prediction cannot yet be judged as right or wrong; it’s simply too early to tell.