Last updated Nov 29, 2025
Sacks @ 00:07:18Inconclusive
governmenttech
The DOJ will ultimately fail to win its Sherman Act antitrust case against Apple filed in March 2024 (i.e., Apple will not suffer a clear government court victory that forces major structural or behavioral remedies).
And so I'm a little bit skeptical right now that the government going to be able to win this case.View on YouTube
Explanation

As of November 30, 2025, the DOJ’s Sherman Act case against Apple (United States et al. v. Apple Inc., No. 2:24‑cv‑04055) is still in early-to-mid litigation with no final judgment, settlement, or remedies order. The court denied Apple’s motion to dismiss on June 30, 2025, allowing all major claims to proceed, but that is only a procedural win for the government, not a final merits victory or remedial order. (macrumors.com) Analyses at the time of filing expected a resolution timeline of roughly 3–5 years including appeals, which fits with the current posture where discovery and later trial/appeal phases still lie ahead. (techcrunch.com) Because the ultimate outcome (whether DOJ secures a clear court win forcing major structural/behavioral changes on Apple) has not yet been decided, Sacks’s prediction cannot currently be judged and remains too early to call.