As of November 30, 2025, the DOJ’s 2024 antitrust case against Apple over iPhone-related practices is still in active litigation with no settlement or final remedy yet.

• The DOJ and multiple states filed the lawsuit in March 2024, alleging Apple maintained a smartphone monopoly via five categories of conduct (super apps, cloud gaming, messaging, smartwatches, and digital wallets/NFC). (techcrunch.com)
• In June 2025, Judge Julien Neals denied Apple’s motion to dismiss, allowing the case to move forward into discovery and a likely multi‑year process; reports note the case is unlikely to reach trial before roughly 2028. (macrumors.com)
• Contemporary analyses of the suit have consistently described expected resolution timelines of 3–5 years, reinforcing that we are still early in the process. (techcrunch.com)
• Recent coverage in mid‑ to late‑2025 discusses Apple’s answer to the complaint and additional states joining the case, framing it as ongoing litigation, not a settled matter. (macrumors.com)

Apple has independently loosened some restrictions (e.g., on cloud streaming, RCS messaging support, and NFC access for third‑party wallets), which arguably benefits consumers, but these changes are not yet part of any DOJ settlement or consent decree in this case. (macrumors.com)

Because:

1. There is no settlement yet, so we cannot know whether “three of five” categories will be formally conceded;
2. The net consumer impact of any eventual remedy is unknown; and
3. The long‑term effect of that eventual outcome on Apple’s business and stock cannot be tied to a resolved case,

there isn’t enough information to judge whether Jason’s multi‑part prediction has come true. It remains too early to call, so the prediction is best classified as inconclusive at this time.