As of November 30, 2025, the DOJ’s 2024 antitrust case United States, et al. v. Apple Inc. over the iPhone and related ecosystem is still in pre‑trial stages, with no settlement or merits ruling yet that compels Apple to change its practices in any of the five cited categories (super apps, cloud gaming apps, messaging apps, smartwatches, digital wallets).

Key points:

• The DOJ complaint filed March 21, 2024 explicitly identifies those five categories as areas where Apple allegedly suppresses competition.(techcrunch.com)
• Analysts and coverage at the time of filing projected a 3–5 year timeline for any final resolution, noting that remedies would likely be years away, similar to other big‑tech antitrust cases.(techcrunch.com)
• The court denied Apple’s motion to dismiss on June 30, 2025, allowing the case to proceed, but this is only a procedural ruling and does not order any substantive changes to Apple’s conduct.(macrumors.com)
• The most recent overviews of the case state that pretrial proceedings are ongoing and that trial is scheduled for 2026, with final remedies (if any) to come afterward.(en.wikipedia.org)
• There is no public indication of a settlement, consent decree, or injunction in this DOJ case that already forces Apple to materially alter its behavior in three or more of the five specified categories.

Apple has made or announced various changes in some areas (e.g., NFC access and messaging standards), but these stem primarily from EU proceedings and other regulatory or strategic pressures, not from a settlement or judgment in the U.S. DOJ 2024 smartphone‑monopoly case itself.(techcrunch.com)

Because the case is still pending and the central remedies phase has not occurred, we cannot yet know whether at least three of the five categories will be materially changed “in the government’s favor via settlement or ruling,” as the prediction specifies. Thus, it is too early to judge the prediction’s accuracy, and the result is inconclusive (too early).