And if RFK can get 30 plus percent support, which in some states I think he will, I think that there's a decent chance that would be an enormous outcome.View on YouTube
According to certified 2024 general-election results, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. ran as an independent and received roughly 0.48–0.49% of the national popular vote. His best statewide performance was about 1.96% of the vote in Montana, and in all other states his share was lower; no state shows him at or above even 2%, let alone 30%. (en.wikipedia.org)
Summary tables of third‑party and independent candidates for the 2024 presidential election explicitly list Kennedy’s “best state percentage” as 1.96%, confirming that he did not reach 30% in any state. (en.wikipedia.org)
Kennedy also suspended his independent campaign and endorsed Donald Trump in August 2024, further limiting his eventual vote share. (reuters.com)
Because he never came close to 30% of the popular vote in any state in the November 2024 election, Chamath’s prediction that RFK Jr. would get “30 plus percent” support in some states was not borne out by the actual results.