Sacks @ 00:54:32Wrong
marketsconflict
In 2024, energy—particularly oil and energy‑related stocks—will rank among the top‑performing major asset classes, driven by heightened geopolitical conflict and supply‑disruption risks.
My guess here, just a guess is energy is energy stocks. Energy prices could be among the top performers of 2024. Just because there's so much risk of conflict breaking out now and escalating.View on YouTube
Explanation
Available performance data show that neither oil nor energy‑related equities were among the top‑performing major asset classes in 2024.
- Within U.S. equities, the S&P 500 returned about 25% total in 2024, while the S&P 500 Energy sector returned only about 5.7%. A sector breakdown from RBC (using total returns including dividends through 12/31/24) shows Energy at +5.72%, far behind leading sectors such as Communication Services (+40.2%), Information Technology (+36.6%), Financials (+30.5%), and Consumer Discretionary (+30.1%), and only barely ahead of laggards like Real Estate and Materials. (rbcwealthmanagement.com)
- A press release and fund commentary referencing the S&P 500 Energy Sector explicitly confirm that it returned 5.7% in 2024, noting that "the Energy market presented challenges" that year—again indicating that energy equities were not strong relative performers. (nasdaq.com)
- Looking at major asset classes globally, a 2024 asset‑class return table shows: Bitcoin +120.8%, gold +27.2%, U.S. large‑cap equities +23.3%, U.S. small caps +10.1%, etc., while crude oil (as a commodity) returned only +0.7% in 2024—near the bottom of the major‑asset‑class stack and well below equities and gold. (visualcapitalist.com)
- Oil prices themselves did not experience a big upside shock from geopolitical risk. A 2024 review notes that Brent crude traded mostly in a stable $74–$90 band and finished the year around $74.64, about 3% below its final 2023 close of $77.04, marking a second straight annual decline for Brent. (livemint.com)
Because both oil prices and energy stocks produced only mid‑single‑digit returns and clearly underperformed leading sectors and asset classes, the prediction that energy/oil would be "among the top performers of 2024" due to escalating geopolitical conflict and supply‑disruption risk did not come true.