Jason @ 00:40:15Wrong
politicsmarkets
In 2024, TikTok (or its parent ByteDance via a TikTok‑specific entity) will complete an IPO or public spin‑out, with significant political pressure to reduce or remove direct CCP control or board influence as part of the deal structure.
I'm going to say this year that I think TikTok goes public, and they'll be under pressure from different political factions to get the CCP off the board. So I'm going to go with ByteDance taking going public or TikTok spinning out and going public. Some some version of that.View on YouTube
Explanation
Jason predicted that in 2024 TikTok (or ByteDance via a TikTok-specific entity) would complete an IPO or public spin‑out, under political pressure to reduce CCP influence on the board.
By the end of 2024 and well into 2025:
- TikTok is still not publicly traded, and there is no TikTok-specific public entity. Multiple 2025 overviews of TikTok’s IPO status state explicitly that TikTok has no ticker, is not listed on any exchange, and remains owned by private parent ByteDance. (ebc.com)
- ByteDance itself likewise remains a private company; it is described in current references as a privately held firm with venture and founder ownership, not listed on public markets. (ts2.tech)
- In 2024, the U.S. instead passed the Protecting Americans from Foreign Adversary Controlled Applications Act, which forces ByteDance to divest TikTok or face a ban by January 19, 2025, but this divestiture requirement is separate from any IPO and did not result in a completed public listing or spin‑out during 2024. (en.wikipedia.org)
Because no IPO or public spin‑out of TikTok (or a TikTok-specific entity) was completed in 2024, the prediction did not come true.