ALL INPredictions
Last updated Nov 29, 2025
Episodes / E160: 2024 Predictions! Markets, tech, politics, and more
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Jason @ 00:26:38Wrong
ai
In 2024, the New York Times and OpenAI will resolve their lawsuit via a settlement of at least nine figures (≥$100M) for past use plus an ongoing annual licensing agreement allowing OpenAI to continue training on and serving NYT content.
I think it's going to be a nine figure settlement for previous stuff, and then an ongoing licensing fee in order to have the New York Times and their training data... I think The New York Times will come up with a license that everybody can use their data if they pay this yearly fee.View on YouTube
Explanation

Public records show that the New York Times’ copyright lawsuit against OpenAI and Microsoft remains active and contested well past 2024, with no reported settlement.

• In November 2025, Reuters describes OpenAI asking a federal judge to reverse an order to turn over millions of anonymized ChatGPT chats “amid a copyright infringement lawsuit by the New York Times”, clearly indicating the case is ongoing, not settled. (reuters.com)
• OpenAI’s own November 2025 blog post, “Reporting the facts about the New York Times’ lawsuit,” discusses recent court rulings, discovery disputes, and continuing motions in the Times case, again treating it as an unresolved, active lawsuit rather than a settled matter. (openai.com)
• Separately, in May 2025 the New York Times announced its first generative‑AI licensing deal — not with OpenAI, but with Amazon — while explicitly noting that this comes more than a year after the Times sued Microsoft and OpenAI for copyright infringement, with no mention of any settlement or licensing agreement with OpenAI. (theverge.com)

There are no credible reports of a nine‑figure (≥$100M) settlement between the New York Times and OpenAI in 2024, nor of an NYT–OpenAI licensing agreement that would authorize ongoing training and serving of NYT content. Given that the lawsuit is still being litigated and the specified 2024 deadline has passed, Jason’s prediction of a 2024 nine‑figure settlement plus licensing deal did not come true.