Last updated Nov 29, 2025
marketsconflict
In calendar year 2024, energy stocks and energy prices (especially oil) will be among the top‑performing asset classes, with a significant spike in the price of oil driven by geopolitical conflict.
My guess here, just a guess is energy is energy stocks. Energy prices could be among the top performers of 2024... there's just so many ways that the conflict could escalate and create, I think, a spike in the price of oil.View on YouTube
Explanation

Evidence from 2024 shows that neither energy stocks nor oil itself were among the top‑performing asset classes, and oil prices did not experience an exceptional, conflict‑driven spike.

  • Energy stocks underperformed other equities. The S&P 500 energy sector returned only about 1.9–5.6% in 2024, versus roughly 23% for the overall S&P 500, and ranked near the bottom of the 11 sectors (9th out of 11 by one breakdown).(visualcapitalist.com)
  • Oil was not a top asset class. A cross‑asset table of 2024 returns shows crude oil up only about 0.7% for the year, while Bitcoin, gold, U.S. large‑cap stocks, and several other assets posted far higher gains. Commodities as a whole returned about 2.6%, again leaving crude oil well away from the top tier.(visualcapitalist.com) Even sources that estimate a mid‑teens gain for crude still place it far behind leading commodities like cocoa, coffee, and gold.(ctol.digital)
  • Oil prices rose but stayed range‑bound rather than spiking. Brent crude averaged about $81 per barrel in 2024, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration.(eia.gov) There were periods (e.g., April 2024) when Brent climbed into the high‑$80s, helped by Middle East tensions and other geopolitical risks, but analysts repeatedly characterized prices as stable or range‑bound, with a modest risk premium rather than a large, one‑off spike.(reuters.com)

Given that (1) energy equities were laggards rather than leaders and (2) oil prices moved within a relatively moderate band instead of delivering a dramatic, conflict‑driven surge, Sacks’s prediction that energy stocks and prices would be among the top‑performing asset classes in 2024 due to a significant geopolitical spike in oil did not come true.