Jason expected the No Labels third‑party effort to announce Joe Manchin as its presidential candidate in early 2024, saying they’d name him “any day now.”(podscripts.co) In reality, on February 16, 2024 Manchin publicly announced he would not run for president or mount a third‑party bid, ending speculation about a No Labels candidacy.(cnbc.com)(en.wikipedia.org) Subsequently, No Labels announced on April 4, 2024 that it was abandoning its 2024 presidential “unity ticket” effort after failing to recruit a viable candidate, explicitly noting that figures including Manchin had declined to run.(en.wikipedia.org)(apnews.com)(reuters.com) Because Manchin never became the No Labels presidential or leading candidate and the effort was shut down instead, the prediction was wrong.