Sam Altman was reinstated as OpenAI CEO in late November 2023 and, as of November 30, 2025, remains CEO; there is no record of the OpenAI board firing or removing him again after his reinstatement.(cnbc.com) This makes the first part of the prediction ("the board can never fire Sam again" / he won’t be fired again) so far consistent with observed events, though it remains a claim about the indefinite future.

The second part—"therefore he has total control"—is harder to score as factually true or false. On one hand, reporting and expert commentary widely describe Altman as having consolidated power after the crisis: the dissenting board members who fired him left, he returned as CEO, and later rejoined a reconstituted board, which many critics see as aligned with him.(reuters.com) On the other hand, OpenAI still has a nonprofit-controlled governance structure; regulatory and political pressure forced the company to reverse or modify its planned shift to a more conventional for‑profit model, despite Altman’s earlier push in that direction, indicating that his decisions can be and have been constrained.(apnews.com) The nonprofit retains formal control over the new public‑benefit corporation structure, and major investor Microsoft now holds roughly a 27% stake and a direct role in approving restructuring, giving it substantial leverage over key decisions.(fortune.com)

Because Altman clearly has very strong influence but governance, investor, and regulatory checks continue to shape and sometimes override his preferred direction, whether he has “de facto total control” is a subjective judgment that reasonable observers disagree on. There is enough time elapsed to observe outcomes, but the qualitative nature of “total control” means the prediction cannot be scored as definitively right or wrong; hence it is best classified as ambiguous.