As of November 30, 2025, Hamas has clearly not been eliminated. Reporting indicates that while Israel has killed many Hamas leaders and fighters and significantly degraded its capabilities, Hamas as an organization and armed movement remains intact, with command-and-control structures still functioning and the ability to negotiate and enforce deals.(foreignpolicy.com) Other sources note that Hamas still fields thousands of fighters in Gaza and continues to contest control and influence there.(en.wikipedia.org) Analysts and international organizations also project that reconstructing Gaza and addressing the broader political and economic roots of the conflict will require many years to decades.(reuters.com)

However, Jason’s prediction was specifically temporal: “It’s going to take decades” to eliminate Hamas and its influence. Only about two years have passed since the prediction on October 13, 2023—far less than the “multiple decades” timeframe being claimed. The fact that Hamas is still present and influential is consistent with his forecast but does not yet demonstrate that the total effort will in fact take decades rather than, say, one further decade or some shorter period.

Because the predicted time horizon (decades) has not yet elapsed, we cannot definitively judge the prediction as right or wrong. It is merely not falsified and currently aligned with events.

Therefore, the appropriate classification is “inconclusive (too early)”.