The prediction’s time window is 4–5 years from 2023, i.e., roughly 2027–2028. As of today (November 30, 2025), that deadline has not yet arrived, so we cannot definitively judge it.

Based on current public information, Tesla’s Full Self-Driving (FSD) is still officially classified as an SAE Level 2 driver-assistance system, meaning the human driver must supervise at all times and remain responsible for the driving task; Tesla itself warns that FSD does not make the car autonomous, and U.S. regulators also treat it as Level 2, not Level 4/5. However, whether Tesla will reach a credible Level 4/5 system by 2027–2028 is inherently about the future and cannot yet be confirmed or falsified.

Because the prediction’s target date is still in the future, the correct status is inconclusive (too early to tell).