No, but I think I think David Weiss is under such a microscope right now. The idea that he doesn't act conclusively here, I think, would be a huge problem. And then the next president, if it's Republican, will reopen it.
A Republican did in fact win the next U.S. presidency: Donald Trump defeated Kamala Harris in the 2024 election and took office again in January 2025 as a Republican president. 【turn0search12】【turn0news14】
Special Counsel David Weiss’s Hunter Biden probe ended with Hunter’s conviction on federal gun charges and a guilty plea on tax charges, followed by President Joe Biden issuing a sweeping pardon in December 2024 covering Hunter’s federal offenses from 2014–2024. 【turn1search21】【turn1news16】 Weiss’s final report in January 2025 defended the investigations as thorough but explicitly noted that the pardon prevented him from making additional charging decisions regarding Hunter’s conduct, while Republicans such as House Oversight Chair James Comer criticized the report as incomplete and argued that broader financial and bribery-related crimes remained unaddressed. 【turn2search23】【turn2search0】【turn3search1】 This fits the condition that Weiss’s “resolution” was not widely seen as conclusive, at least on the Republican side.
Under Trump’s new administration, Attorney General Pam Bondi has publicly stated that the FBI is “working hard” to investigate records tied to long‑standing bribery allegations involving former President Joe Biden and his son Hunter Biden, referring specifically to the Burisma/FD‑1023 bribery evidence that had previously been part of the broader Biden-family controversy. 【turn3search2】 Simultaneously, additional FBI files with further Burisma‑related bribery allegations about Joe and Hunter Biden were released in 2025, with Senator Chuck Grassley pressing for a full inquiry into whether these leads were properly investigated. 【turn4news13】 These actions show the Republican Trump–Bondi Justice Department and FBI actively re‑pursuing Biden‑family (and thus Hunter Biden‑related) corruption allegations that many Republicans believed had not been fully or fairly resolved under Weiss.
Given that:
- A Republican won the 2024 presidency.
- Weiss’s outcome was not accepted as conclusive by key Republican actors.
- The subsequent Republican administration has indeed moved to further investigate Hunter Biden‑related bribery and influence‑peddling claims,
Chamath’s conditional prediction (“if a Republican wins, they will reopen/further pursue the Hunter Biden investigations if Weiss isn’t seen as conclusive”) has effectively come true.