Last updated Nov 29, 2025
Jason @ 00:14:40Inconclusive
politicsconflict
By roughly 10 years from this July 1, 2023 episode (i.e., by July 1, 2033), Vladimir Putin will have lost power in Russia, with the primary precipitating cause understood in hindsight to be either (a) serious illness such as cancer or (b) negative consequences arising from his 2022 invasion of Ukraine.
I think we're going to see in the next ten years Putin lose power and he's going to be out of power. And when we look back on it, it's going to be one of two causes. It's going to be either cancer... or through his invasion of Ukraine.View on YouTube
Explanation

As of November 30, 2025, Vladimir Putin remains in power as President of Russia. He was inaugurated for his fifth presidential term on May 7, 2024, following the 2024 election; this term is scheduled to run until 2030, and constitutional changes allow him to run again thereafter. (trtafrika.com) He continues to act as head of state in 2025, including signing international treaties such as the 2025 Iran–Russia comprehensive strategic partnership. (en.wikipedia.org)

The prediction’s time horizon is roughly 10 years from July 1, 2023, i.e., until about July 1, 2033. Since that date has not yet been reached—and Putin has neither lost power nor undergone a clearly documented removal driven by illness or the consequences of the Ukraine invasion—the forecast cannot yet be judged as either correct or wrong. It simply remains unresolved at this time.