As of 30 November 2025, Article II, Section 1, Clause 5 of the U.S. Constitution still requires the president to be a “natural born Citizen,” and no constitutional amendment has been ratified to change that requirement or to allow non–natural-born citizens to become president.(constitution.congress.gov)

Chamath’s prediction has two parts:

1. Short-term claim: “It can't happen in the next few years.” So far (about 2.5 years after June 2023), this has held true—no such amendment has passed—but we have not yet reached the end of a reasonable “few years” window.
2. Long-term claim: A small probability that such a change could occur in roughly 25–30 years from 2023. That window runs out around 2048–2053 and is entirely in the future.

Because the core of the prediction concerns events up to several decades out, and we are still near the beginning of that horizon, it is too early to determine whether the prediction is ultimately right or wrong.