Last updated Nov 29, 2025
Chamath @ 01:20:27Inconclusive
aieconomy
Over the next 30–40 years, a majority of the job functions that currently exist in the United States will migrate to lower-cost locations that can leverage AI and related tooling, forcing the U.S. to substantially reinvent its workforce and job mix in order to remain economically relevant.
I think the reality is that most of the existing jobs that we have in the United States are going to go to lower cost locations that have that tool chain to accelerate their capability. So we're going to have to reinvent the workforce and the things that we do over the next 30 or 40 years to stay relevant.View on YouTube
Explanation

Only about 2 years have elapsed since the prediction was made in June 2023, while the prediction explicitly concerns a 30–40 year horizon for large-scale migration of “most” U.S. job functions to lower-cost locations using AI tooling and a subsequent reinvention of the U.S. workforce. That kind of structural transformation cannot be reliably evaluated this early. Current data (2023–2025) show rapid AI adoption and some offshoring and reconfiguration of jobs, but not a clear, measurable majority migration of U.S. job functions abroad, nor a completed reinvention of the workforce—nor would we expect to see that yet. Since the time frame for the prediction has barely started, its correctness cannot be judged at this point, so the outcome is inconclusive (too early).