As of November 30, 2025, the US dollar is still the dominant global reserve currency by a large margin. IMF and central bank data show that roughly 55–60% of disclosed foreign exchange reserves are held in USD, far ahead of the euro, yen, pound, or yuan. No other currency has clearly begun to displace the dollar as the primary global reserve, and there has been no formal or de facto transition to a different main reserve currency.

However, Jason’s prediction is explicitly about the remainder of his and Friedberg’s lifetimes—i.e., “several decades” into the future. That time period has obviously not elapsed by 2025, and the claim concerns the persistence of a trend, not a specific event by a fixed date. Since we are still well within the window of the prediction, and the condition to judge it definitively (end of their lifetimes / several decades passing) has not been met, the correct label today is that it is too early to tell whether the prediction will ultimately be right or wrong.