The key conditions of Sacks’s prediction did not materialize as described:

• Trump did become the 2024 Republican nominee and general-election candidate. He clinched the GOP nomination on March 12, 2024, was officially nominated in July, and went on to win the November 5, 2024 election. (en.wikipedia.org)

• Biden did not actually run the general-election campaign against Trump. Although he announced a reelection bid on April 25, 2023 and then dominated the Democratic primaries, Biden withdrew from the 2024 race on July 21, 2024 after a widely panned June 27 debate with Trump. Kamala Harris then launched her own campaign the same day; she became the Democratic nominee on August 5, 2024 and ultimately lost to Trump. (en.wikipedia.org) So the specific scenario Sacks described—Biden vs. Trump in the fall campaign—never fully occurred.

• While Biden was still a candidate in early 2024, his campaign activity was substantially more than “once a week” and not purely a low-key Rose Garden posture. An Axios analysis of his schedule found that through June 30, 2024, Biden held about 90 domestic events outside the D.C. area, roughly 3–4 per week, and had visited more swing states than Trump by that point. His travel was lighter than Obama’s 2012 reelection schedule but heavier than Trump’s pandemic-affected 2020 schedule, indicating a moderately active campaign, not a once‑a‑week response operation. (axios.com) Major campaign events included high-profile speeches near Valley Forge (Jan. 5), at Mother Emanuel AME in Charleston (Jan. 8), and a large March 28 fundraiser at Radio City Music Hall with Obama and Clinton. (en.wikipedia.org)

• Biden did adopt some elements criticized as a Rose Garden–style or low-visibility approach—mainly in press access, not campaign travel. He held relatively few formal press conferences and sit-down interviews compared to recent presidents, and commentators and allies at various points described or contemplated a “Rose Garden strategy” or “split-screen” approach that leveraged incumbency while Republicans fought among themselves. (washingtonpost.com) But this referred primarily to media and messaging strategy, not to the kind of once‑weekly campaign schedule Sacks predicted.

Because (1) Biden did not end up running the full 2024 campaign as the Democratic nominee against Trump, and (2) during the time he was a candidate his schedule involved many more than one brief appearance per week and a real—if somewhat lighter—campaign travel cadence, the prediction that he would essentially retreat to a low‑energy, once‑weekly Rose Garden campaign turned out to be wrong.