Friedberg’s May 2023 claim was that Donald Trump had a real chance of being reelected in the 2024 U.S. presidential election. The election was held on November 5, 2024, and official results show that Republican nominee Donald Trump defeated Democratic nominee Kamala Harris, winning 312 electoral votes to 226 and securing the popular vote as well, thereby becoming president again in a non-consecutive term.​ (en.wikipedia.org) Since Trump did, in fact, win the 2024 election, the subsequent outcome is fully consistent with the assertion that he had a serious shot at reelection. Therefore, this prediction is right.