Last updated Nov 29, 2025
Chamath @ 01:14:19Inconclusive
aitech
Over time (within the coming years to couple of decades), AI systems will eliminate the need for humans to perform most forms of software coding work, beyond the already-ongoing elimination of manual unit testing.
Look, I think that AI is going to eliminate unit testing. It has already done so. It's going to eliminate most forms of coding.View on YouTube
Explanation

As of November 30, 2025, AI tools (e.g., GitHub Copilot, OpenAI’s Codex-based assistants, Replit’s code assistants, etc.) have significantly automated parts of software development—such as code completion, boilerplate generation, and some testing—but they have not eliminated the need for human software engineers or “most forms of coding.” Surveys and industry reports still show strong demand for software developers and ongoing human-led coding work across organizations, despite increased AI assistance. However, Chamath’s prediction explicitly referred to a multi‑year to multi‑decade horizon ("over time" / "coming years to couple of decades"), and only about 2.5 years have passed since the March 31, 2023 episode. Because the stated timeframe extends well beyond 2025, we cannot yet determine whether AI will eventually eliminate most forms of coding work. Therefore, the correct evaluation at this point is that it’s too early to judge the prediction as right or wrong.