Historical Bitcoin price data show that on 17 June 2023, Bitcoin was trading around the $26,000–$27,000 range, nowhere close to $1,000,000 per coin, and it has never reached $1,000,000 at any point up through 30 November 2025.

Jason’s prediction, paraphrased as: “there's probably no chance of [Bitcoin hitting $1M by June 17] or a very tiny chance” is therefore correct in its factual implication about the outcome (Bitcoin did not reach $1,000,000 by June 17, 2023), and the real-world result is fully consistent with his characterization of that probability as extremely low.