Jason argued that Quora (via Poe and its Q&A corpus) would become the number one AI application company going forward, overtaking incumbents like ChatGPT in practical consumer relevance, and that Reddit could likewise become a major AI answers platform if it launched a chatbot.

As of late 2025, market data shows the opposite:

• ChatGPT remains the dominant consumer AI app by a wide margin. A World Bank–based analysis of generative AI tools for March 2024 found ChatGPT had ~2.34 billion visits, accounting for 82.5% of web traffic among 40 tools; Quora’s Poe ranked only third at ~43.4 million visits—orders of magnitude smaller. (visualcapitalist.com)
• By 2025, multiple analytics sources estimate hundreds of millions of monthly active users for ChatGPT’s app alone (e.g., ~546M MAU in April 2025 and ~769M MAU by October 2025), with ChatGPT having about 5x more users than any other AI app. (backlinko.com) ChatGPT is also reported at roughly 700 million weekly users across platforms. (techradar.com)
• Rankings of the most popular AI apps worldwide in 2024–2025 consistently place ChatGPT at #1 in MAUs, downloads, and in‑app revenue, with Quora/Poe absent from the top-tier list of global leaders. (backlinko.com) There is no evidence that Quora has surpassed ChatGPT or become the leading AI application company.

On Reddit:

• Reddit did exactly what Jason envisioned and launched an AI chatbot, Reddit Answers, starting tests in the US in December 2024 and expanding to India and other regions in 2025. It surfaces conversational answers based on Reddit posts and comments. (investing.com)
• However, available market and traffic reports on top generative AI tools and apps do not list Reddit Answers among the major global AI chatbots; instead, Reddit’s primary AI-related role appears to be as a content/licensing provider to companies like OpenAI and Google, and as a plaintiff in scraping lawsuits against Anthropic and Perplexity. (siliconindia.com) This indicates it has not emerged as a dominant, consumer-facing AI answer platform on par with ChatGPT.

Given:

• ChatGPT’s entrenched and growing dominance in users, traffic, and revenue;
• Poe’s and Quora’s status as secondary players without any sign of surpassing ChatGPT; and
• Reddit’s chatbot remaining a feature mainly for navigating Reddit content rather than a top-tier global AI app,

Jason’s core prediction—that Quora would become the number one AI player in consumer AI apps, overtaking ChatGPT, and that Reddit would likewise become a leading AI answers platform once it launched a chatbot—has not materialized by late 2025.

Therefore, the prediction is wrong.